Trump Administration Models Predict Near Doubling of Daily Death Toll by June

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As President Donald Trump presses states to reopen their economies, his administration is privately projecting a steady rise in coronavirus ,

Infections and deaths over the next several weeks,reaching about 3,000 daily deaths on June 1 — nearly double the current level. The projections, based on data collected by various agencies, including the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention,

And laid out in an internal document obtained Monday by The New York Times, forecast about 200,000 new cases each day by the end of May, up from about 30,000 cases now. There are currently about 1,750 deaths per day, the data shows. They are not the only ones forecasting more carnage.

Another model, closely watched by the White House, raised its fatality projections on Monday to more than 134,000 American deaths from COVID-19,

The disease caused by the coronavirus, by early August. The numbers underscore a sobering reality: While the United States has been hunkered down for the past seven weeks,

The prognosis has not markedly improved. As states reopen — many without meeting White House guidelines that call for a steady decline in coronavirus cases ,

“There remains a large number of counties whose burden continues to grow,” the CDC warned, alongside a map that offered a detailed view of the growth of the pandemic. In fact, the Trump administration has steered clear of enacting a national policy to prevent its own projections from coming to pass.

On a conference call with the nation’s governors on Monday, Vice President Mike Pence cheered on state-level coronavirus testing,

And he again promised this week to ship out more tests to all 50 states. But a recording of the call, obtained by The Times, made clear that the White House was taking its cues from state governments.

 

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